Monday, June 11, 2018

The US & Her Allies: The Dog Refuses to be Wagged by its Tail.


by Eze Eluchie,


The scenario had been often repeated: relatively less endowed countries will deliberately provoke a crisis, fully conscious of the fact that their success can only be guaranteed if Big Brother gets involved in the crisis. Big Brother gets goaded to take up the crisis as its own and the less endowed states merely contribute peripheral resources towards addressing the crisis – a situation commonly known as ‘the tail wagging the dog scenario’. All manners of adjectives have been coined (such as ‘special relationship’, ‘shared fundamental values’ and ‘Blood Allies’) to cajole Big Brother to continue in this very expensive vocation - a vocation that leaves Big Brother lagging behind its allies in virtually all facets of societal advancement – from academics, citizen social welfare programs, public infrastructure and general quality of life.

Over the years, the United States has found itself routinely led into conflicts in which it clearly had non-defined goals nor identifiable gains, save for the fact that its ‘allies’ had urged it on and convinced it that there was a threat to the ‘shared interests’ – the brutal murder and consequent destruction of Libya initiated by the United kingdom and France, into which the US was dragged into typifies this situation. 

The above graphic illustration expresses the relationship between the United States of America and its so-called special allies – Western European countries, Canada, Japan and South Korea. Well, that was the situation till the emergence of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States.

Having rode into office on an unambiguous promise to prioritize America’s interest (with the slogan ‘America First’), Trump started off his stay in office with clear signs of his intentions to abide with a clearly Americacentric stance that does not recognize any ‘special relationship status’, or ‘allies’ except with the American people and American interests. The shock withdrawal from the Paris Agreement on Climate Change sent shock waves across the world which clearly did not sink in the message down enough to those who had considered themselves as ‘special allies’, as they continued to act in a condescending manner believing that they will eventually ‘curb’ the excesses of POTUS.

To curb Trump’s ‘America First’ appetite and ensure the ‘special relationship’ amongst allies, the allies appear to have crafted ingenious arrangements to ensure continuing US involvement in global affairs. A few days after the Trump administration had announced its intention to withdraw US troops in Syria, a chemical weapon attack was ‘announced’, and in a move unheralded in the annals of international military coalition efforts, targeted punitive military strikes were coordinated against Syria, long before an investigation team had been empanelled to look into the allegations. The ‘America First’ resolve had been put to test, and appeared to have wavered.

In like manner, an ‘attempted murder by military-grade nerve agent poisoning’ was drummed up – and as was the case with the alleged Syrian chemical weapon attack, without tangible evidence, a perpetrator was ‘named’ and the US was, again, steamrolled into engaging in diplomatic missives to ensure it was in tune with its ‘allies’ and special status friends.

The successes with the Syrian chemical weapon and Salisbury stories fooled the European allies into thinking that despite his public brashness and boisterous nature, US President, Donald Trump can be made to easily tow the old generous benefactor/Big-Brother stance the US had become used to. This cock-sure attitude of the European allies gave rise to such ridiculous happenings as the French President, prior to a visit to the US, publicly boasted of his ability to get Trump to change his stance on the Iran Nuclear Agreement (the JCPoA) and on Trade Tariffs. Boy, Macron and the allies were in for the shock of their lives.

As the long scheduled G-7 meetings in Canada approached, it dawned on all that the once close-knit blood allies were headed for a make-or-mar summit that would crystallize the role of the US as ever reliable ‘Big Brother’ who was ever ready to pick up his allies bills or make it explicit to the allies that there was a new kid-in-the-block who truly meant his words when he says ‘America First’.

US Government announcement of imposition of tariff on steel and alumina products from its allies (Canada, Mexico, the EU States and Japan amongst others), a few weeks to the Canada G-7 meet where there would be a face-to-face meeting with the leaders of the allies made it clear to all but the discerning that Trump was not joking when he says ‘America First’. Verbal missiles were already flying between Big Brother and the allies as the dates for the Summit approached.  

To add fodder to the schism between the US and other G-7 member States, POTUS prior to departing for the summit, floated the idea of readmitting Russia to the fold – a suggestion that was immediately rebuffed by other European G-7 countries. The divergence between POTUS and other G-7 leaders were palpable and some media outfits reported the likelihood of fisticuffs if sufficient distance was not maintained between the leaders.

The Canada G-7 summit has come and gone, the rest as the saying goes is history. The US came out of that summit clearly notifying its allies that the days when it served as the local piggy bank which all and sundry fleeced at will had passed and all must bear their own portion of responsibilities.

The effect of the stance now adopted by the US is bound to restructure global order and signal critical shifts in inter-State relationships, particularly in the areas of global economic and political order.

The continuing inability and or unwillingness of political leaders in the African continent to leverage on the changing dynamics in the relationship between the US and its allies to chart new parts that will ease the shackles of underdevelopment for their various countries continue to baffle and amaze.

As Americans continue to applaud and appreciate the Trump administration particularly for its positive effect on US economy, with an ever increasing likelihood of a second tenure assured, there appears to be yet more time for the impact of ‘America First’ philosophy to sink in and countries across the world to adjust to the new realities unfolded by a global super-power focused on primarily advancing its own interests and which refuses for its junior allies to control her or to be waged by its tail.




Picture: President Donald Trump surrounded by other G-7 leaders (Angela Merkel of Germany, Theresa may of the UK, Emmanuel Macron of France, Shizo Abe of Japan and their aides), who appeared perplexed and helpless by the position taken by the US on various issues.




Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Buhari’s Government Brazenly Steals US$462 Million: All Pretense at Anti-Corruption Stance Goes Up in Flames.


by Eze Eluchie, 

When after one of their several nocturnal meetings, a group of ruling party State Governors, hiding under the pretext of the ‘Nigeria Governors Forum’ (NGF), an ultra-constitutional arrangement unknown to the Nigerian constitution, announced that State Governors had decided to approve that the princely sum of One Billion Dollars (US$ 1,000,000,000) be withdrawn from the Consolidated Revenue of the Federation for the purpose of prosecuting the ‘war against terrorism/Boko Haram, discerning Nigerians and members of the National Assembly had in one voice condemned such move as clearly unconstitutional and unprecedented in   the checkered history of Nigeria.

Federal and State legislators and informed Nigerians had made it explicitly clear to the said Governors that they lacked the powers to, by fiat, give away monies belonging to their various States to the Federal Government to expend for whatsoever purposes. In the same vein, the Federal Government was reminded that it could not of its own volition, without appropriation by the National Assembly, expend public funds. The illegitimate nature of the US$1 Billion ‘security gift to the Federal government’ was further brought to the fore by the staunch denial of any involvement whatsoever in such a clandestine arrangement by the Governor of Ekiti State, Ayodele Fayose, who categorically asserted, and rightfully so, that granting such authority to expend funds to the Federal Government was inimical to the spirit and intendments of the Nigerian constitution.

An integral aspect of the Presidential System of government is an inbuilt system of checks and balances which ensures that no single arm of government (amongst the three arms, to wit: the Executive, the Legislature and the Judiciary) becomes over domineering and develops dictatorial mannerisms. The check systems serve to maintain a balance in the polity and mutual confidence amongst, on the one hand, the various arms of government and on the other between the arms of government and the civil population.

In the light of the foregoing and in view of explicit provisions in Section 80 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria which makes it compulsory that appropriation by the Legislature be first obtained prior to any funds being expended by the government, it was thus with consternation and shock that Nigerians were carelessly informed via reports emanating from officials of the Presidency, that President Muhammadu Buhari, had of his own volition, without recourse to or any request being made or approval obtained from the National Assembly, withdrawn sums in excess of Four Hundred and Sixty Million United States Dollars (US$ 460+million) purportedly for the purchase of some military equipment from the United States.

Withdrawal of funds from the public treasury and spending same without Legislative approval, technically and practically, tantamount to stealing public funds. In very clear cut terms, the Buhari administration, which sailed into office on the platform of tackling corruption andn has pontificated, since it’s inception, on a so-called ‘war against corruption’, has suddenly found itself caught pants down, with its hand not only buried deep in the public coffers, but also soiled with illicitly procuring and expenditure of public funds.

The brazenness of this particular heist, having been carried out in the face of stiff warnings and opposition to it’s perpetuation from concerned quarters brought to the fore the impunity and high-handedness of the Buuhari-led Federal Government and the total disdain with which the head of the regime holds due process, Constitutionalism and reverence for other arms of government.   

The revelations, now being unearthed, that the military equipment (10 units of United States produced Super Tucano attack planes) on which the stolen public funds were expended upon, were heavily over-inflated, probably gives an insight into why the Buhari government did all in its powers to ensure that the Jets were procured without approval from the National Assembly. Clearly, after this episode, all pretence by the Buhari regime to having anything to do with efforts at addressing corruption can only be uttered as a joke.


Picture:

In a comical manner, soon after the heist was exposed and the public had been made aware that the President had criminally withdrawn and expended public funds without Legislative approval, President Buhari, sent in a belated ‘Request for Approval’ document for funds which had already been expended – this letter was read on the floor of the House of Representatives several weeks after the funds had been spent.

With benefit of hindsight, it is important to note that one of the reasons why, as a military dictator in 1984, then General Muhammadu Buhari had imprisoned former Vice President Alex Ekwueme, was that the then Vice President had expended public funds without legislative approval. It is thus only reasonable now to demand that the full weight of the law be visited on President Buhari for the unconstitutional and criminal withdrawal and expenditure of public funds without legislative approval.

The National Assembly is thus urged, to as a matter of urgent national importance and for the safeguard of the public trust and confidence in the democratic governance of the polity, for impeachment processes to be commenced against President Buhari.


Picture: US-built Super Tucano attack planes which the Buhari regime claims to have purchased with funds illegality withdrawn and expended from the public treasury in Nigeria.




Friday, March 30, 2018

Using a Poisoning as Pretext to Race Back into Crisis


by Eze Eluchie,

Recent events at the global arena has given life to the hypothesis that entrenched interests at the international level feel most uncomfortable with any likelihood of rapprochement between the major military powers, and are perhaps inclined towards a state of upheavals, tension and outbreak of hostilities amongst nations.

The emergence of a US President who publicly pronounces admiration for a Russian leader, and the reality that such admiration is reciprocated with the attendant emerging scenario of an era of amity between the twin major military powers, appeared too good for hawkish elements on both sides of the ideological divide. Right from the very onset of his presidency, these hawkish elements set out besmear and becloud whatsoever positives that could be gained from any good relations between US President, Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart, Vladmir Putin.

From as yet unproven allegations of Russian interference in the outcome of the US 2016 Presidential elections to vague accusations of use of chemical warfare in Russian military operations in Syria, those who think they stand to benefit from crisis have always tried to up the ante at building mistrust and enmity at the slightest opportunity.

The poisoning of British under-cover spy who had been embedded in Russian security institutions, Sergi Skripal, and his daughter in Salisbury provided a unique opportunity for varying interest to deepen cracks in already worsening relationships between the US and Russia whilst shoring up waning domestic profiles. The poisoning also provided a catalyst to stoke up the embers of regional strive and tensions. From British Prime minister, Theresa May, who is beset with myriad domestic issues, ranging from BREXIT negotiations that were not going as expected to down turn in British public finance outlooks and was in dire need for distractions and whatsoever would portray her as a ‘world leader’, to war-mongers in NATO who were worried that their livelihood was being threatened with President Trump’s insistence that all must bear a fair share of the burden for providing security in Europe, to leaders of extremist Islamist countries who abhorred the implications of a US-Russia alliance in the war against terror, there simply was a motley crowd willing, ready and able to galvanize support to deepen the divide between the US and Russia.

With full details of the poisoning yet to be ascertained and adequate scientific examinations yet to be conducted, accusing fingers were already being pointed in the directions of Russia, as culprits in the poisoning of former British double-agent. Some analysts claimed that the order for the poisoning came directly from the desk of Russian leader, Putin. In a space of less than 7 days, over 25 Western countries announced the expulsion of over 100 Russian diplomats from their territories. In trying to rationalize their actions, some of the countries concerned, such as Australia, overreached themselves in digging into the past, citing such issues as the Russia’s annexation of Crimea, military interventions in Syria, and involvement in the crisis in Ukraine.

As Russia prepares to roll out its retaliatory expulsion of Diplomats and closure of consulates of the countries which had taken hostile coordinated actions against her on account of the poisoning in , and the very high risk of escalating worsening relationships between Western countries and Russia, the prime beneficiaries of the ensuing crisis would be Theresa May, who would have surreptitiously sneaked her country back into the centre of Western activities and global attention and  international extremist Islamist entities who are gifted a reprieve from unanimity of purpose and action against extremist Islamists by Russia and the US (and by extension the West) whilst the greatest losers will be the international community which will now be saddled with the spectre of yet another descent into a bi-polar world characterized by a Cold War and the ever present likelihood of onset of apocalyptic conflict amongst the super powers.

The timing of the current crisis appears to coincide with the forthcoming World Cup scheduled for Russia in the summer. Right from the award of the monumental global event to Russia, spirited efforts have been made to revoke, cancel or alter the hosting of the 22018 World Cup in Russia – right from the very onset of the ‘poisoning crisis’, there have been calls for a boycott of the 2018 World Cup in Russia. Russia calmly swallowed the bitter pills of Olympic sanctions over alleged State sanctioned doping - it is very unlikely that Western boycott of the forthcoming World Cup on account of the current poisoning crisis, would be taken lightly in Moscow – the damage to relationships might be irreparable.

Hopefully, common sense will prevail before the situation deteriorates any further and stop the use of a poisoning in Salisbury as pretext to for a race back into global crisis.


Picture: Spy, Sergi Skripal, at his trial in Russia for espionage related offences.