Friday, May 3, 2013

When the tail wags the dog.


by Eze Eluchie

No doubt, when Barack Obama drew an imaginary line of ‘use of chemical weapons’ as the point where Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria would venture beyond to attract greater United States involvement in the Syrian Civil War, the US President committed a political gaffe.

On the one hand, there was the possibility that any of a plethora of actors in the Syrian conflict could deliberately use chemical weapons so that the al-Assad regime will be blamed for it and thus attract US intervention; and on the other hand, the regime itself could use chemical weapons and blame same on the rebels, as a ploy by rebels to elicit US intervention – either way, a US reaction would be tele-guided, not by US interests, but by the manipulations of some smart alec in Syria or any of the several puppeteers using Syrian interests to propagate their own agenda.


It is simply inappropriate to threaten what you either cannot execute or what you will look bad executing!

As the Syrian civil war drags on, the complexities of the conflict become more glaring. The infiltration of the rebel ranks by extremist al-Qeida linked organizations, the imposition of Sharia laws in the areas where the rebels seem to control and the possibility of a genocidal war against the Alawite minority tribe which has held political power over Syria for decades in the event of the routing of al-Assads regime by the Sunni dominated rebel groups, makes the talk of a rush into intervening in Syria on behalf of any one side, appear infantile.

We are once more witnessing efforts by some countries in Europe to push the United States into a war in a territory the US least understands nor has yet to develop any ‘post-intervention’ plans. The recent announcements by France and Great Britain that they had ‘irrefutable evidence’ of the use by the al-Assad regime of chemical weapons sounds so akin to the noise made earlier of the possessions and preparations of the Saddam Hussein regime of ‘weapons of mass destruction’ – noise which later proved to be trash-talk.

The toppling of Saddam sacked the most liberal regime in the Middle East, a regime which amongst other things had a Christian as Deputy President (Tariq Aziz), was very futuristic in the rights allowed women and quite egalitarian. Post Saddam, what do we have: a nightmare where religious freedom seems light years away and women rights consigned to history.   The same rush to judgment was made in killing Muammar Qhadaffi in Libya, a travesty which has unleashed untold Islamist extremism across much of West Africa, threatening the stability of the entire region.

Those who are now calling for US intervention in Syria on account of the ‘crossing of the imaginary line’ know full well that when the chips are down, they will not be the ones to bear the brunt. They will merely contribute insignificant number of troops and equipment and funds leaving the US and its peoples with the major bills.  

Unfortunately, however, the death toll in the Syrian Civil War continues to climb.

Caution, caution and more caution is advised.

The US should not allow the tail to wag the dog once more!



Picture: President Bashar al-Assad of Syria

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