Sunday, October 2, 2016

Let Al-Assad Be, For Now.

by Eze Eluchie, 

Any objective observer of Arab and Middle Eastern affairs will affirm that foreign induced change of rulers in the region has always been a recipe for prolonged and violent pogroms. The very recent examples of the overthrow and murder of Iraq’s Saddam Hussein and Libya’s Muammar Qhadaffi and the continuing mayhem and destruction foisted on not only that region but with the blood spilling globally, should have ordinarily served as trite warning to outsiders who meddle in what they least know about - to desist therefrom.

From its very inception in the wake of the Arab Spring series of revolutions which engulfed Arabia and the Middle East some 5 years ago, sectarian and ethnically influenced efforts to oust the Al-Assad regime in Syria (which served, alongside the very shaky government in Lebanon, as liberal regimes in the Middle East where Muslims, Christians and persons of divers ethnic origins had access to high political offices with women accorded tangible freedoms and equal rights) elicited much greater interest from across the world than earlier episodes of the Arab Spring which in Tunisia, Egypt, Bahrain and Libya, which had largely been considered as internal affairs of those countries. With benefit of hindsight of the outcomes of what had been erroneously considered populist mass-led revolutions in other parts of the Middle East, particularly the revolutions in Iraq and Libya which had replaced stable, though authoritarian leaders, with mob-rule and territories largely ungovernable which now serve as breeding grounds for international terror syndicates, there was a felt need by some in the international community, particularly UN Security council veto-vote wielding countries Russia and China, to prevent a repeat of the ugly situations now existing across much of Arabia.

Fears that an ouster of the Al-Assad regime would have led to sectarian exterminations against Christians and other religious minorities, ethnic genocide against Alawite tribes and the enthronement of extremist Islamists in Syria, a whittling away of the erstwhile liberal society that had existed in Syria and retrogression of gender and people’s rights has been further brought to the fore by the reality that the so-called rebel forces striving to oust Al-Assad, inclusive of the Free Syrian Army, derives much of their fighting stamina from either the Al-Nusra Front and other Al Qeida linked terrorists organizations. The war in Syria long ceased to be a civil war as much of the so-called rebel fighting force is populated by foreign fighters from as far flung territories as Tunisia, the Russian caucuses and other areas where jihadist elements were imported to fight an extremist Islamist cause. In the event that the Al-Assad regime had been overthrown, Syria would certainly have gone the way of Libya, Iraq and Egypt (under the Brotherhood) – back into damnation and a period where women in accord with extremist Islamic philosophies, disappear from public view and become mere chattels of their menfolk.

It was, is and continues to be right and appropriate in the interest of the peoples of Syria and their neighbours and the international community in general, that for now and the foreseeable future to heal the wounds of the debilitating battles, the Al-Assad regime and its structures continue to superintend over Syria. The United States and its allies can for now forget their untenable insistence on ousting the current Syrian regime – previous regime change has left the Middle Eastern countries where such has occurred, and the Middle East region generally, far worse off.

Should the assertion in the foregoing paragraph be mistaken as an approval of all tactics used in prosecuting the war against the ‘rebels’, ‘moderate extremist Islamists’ and terrorists?  Certainly not! Wars by themselves are necessarily bloody, moreso when the war is being prosecuted against terror elements who adopt such unconventional tactics as suicide bombings, chemical weapon attacks, use civilians and civilian-structures as hostages and other quite lethal and effective means to gain whatever advantages they need to, without the slightest of reservations.

As the Syrian war crosses the 5 year mark with daily reports of heart rendering fatalities and battles and wastages to which entire communities and several millions have been subjected to, it has become pertinent in the interest of Syrians and overall humanity that an immediate or expedited end be put to the wars in Syria. The following steps are recommended:
1. A ceasefire to allow for safe and free passage of civilians from the war zones, particularly Aleppo and its adjacent territories into areas where they can be adequately protected and given much needed humanitarian assistance.
2. Armed combatants in Aleppo and other rebel held territories should be encouraged to lay down their weapons, surrender. The instrumentality of the United Nations can then be adopted to superintend over reconciliation and rebuilding efforts and other transitional arrangements.
3. Efforts will thereafter be focused to extinguish Islamist terrorists, ISIS and Al Qeida and their affiliates.

At an appropriate time, issues of who committed which war crime or crime against humanity against whom in the course of the ‘Arab Spring’ across Arabia and the Middle East, inclusive of crimes against the peoples of Libya, Iraq, Bahrain and Syria will then be objectively addressed – raising such issues now appears to be deliberate ploy to continue the sufferings of the peoples of Syria in particular and the Middle East whilst allowing extremist Islamist terror elements a crack through which to flourish and establish their horrendous strangle hold over that region.




Picture: Pictorial comparison of parts of Syria’s second largest city, Aleppo, before and during the war.


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